The 15-Month Itch: Can Carney Crack the Canadian Honeymoon Curse?

Prime Minister Mark Carney is marking his first year in office with strong approval ratings that mirror the early popularity once enjoyed by former prime minister Justin Trudeau, highlighting a typical political “honeymoon” period, writes Lori Turnbull. Historical trends suggest such support often declines at the 15-month mark. “There is some evidence to suggest that Prime Minister Carney’s political “rock star” status might have longer legs than the initial generous spirit/benefit of the doubt extended to all new prime ministers,” Turnbull says, noting he’s not a “typical politician” and he seems to be transcending regional and partisan lines. Ongoing challenges such as the affordability crisis and concentrated decision-making could erode public support over time, however.

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